Soccer xG (Expected Goals) Calculator
Estimate a shot's expected-goal (xG) value from shooting zone and a simple shot-quality modifier using the same logic as modern football analytics.
How to Use the Soccer xG (Expected Goals) Calculator
- Pick the shot zone.
- Enter a quality modifier 0–100 (clean strike, unopposed, etc.).
- Click Calculate.
Anwendungsfälle
- •Amateur match analysis.
- •Fantasy football picks.
- •Understanding pro football analytics.
Formel
xG = base_zone + (quality% / 100) × 0.2. Base values: close 0.30, medium 0.08, far 0.02. Capped at 0.99.
Häufig gestellte Fragen
What does xG measure?
The probability that an average player would score from a given shot situation. 0.3 xG means a good striker converts about 30% of similar shots.
Why is this simplified?
Real xG models use dozens of features (angle, body part, assist type, pressure). This calculator gives a quick sense of magnitude.